• 18 Feb 2026 06:42 PM
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Monetary puzzle: Why cash in circulation has risen in India even as UPI transactions set new records

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India’s cash in circulation hit a record ₹40 trillion in January, even as UPI transactions scaled yet another peak. What exactly is going on? Four explanations unpack a trend that should both reassure and caution policymakers.

India's cash in circulation hit a record 40 trillion in January, even as UPI transactions scaled yet another peak. What exactly is going on? Four explanations unpack a trend that should both reassure and caution policymakers.

After the rationalization of GST rates and amid festive-season demand, India's currency in circulation (CiC) climbed to record-high levels in late 2025 and early 2026. In January, it touched 40 trillion. So far in 2025-26, CiC has increased by 2.76 trillion, 3.1 times the rise seen in the same period the previous year.